TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in a football game between Detroit and Carolina, focusing on how many rushing yards each player accumulates. Contracts tied to each player will pay out based on the exact number of yards they rush for during the game, with payouts scaling linearly to a maximum cap.
The event consists of three separate scalar markets, each tied to a different player’s rushing yard performance in the Detroit vs. Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. For each market, Yes contracts pay $0.0025 per rushing yard recorded by the respective player, up to a maximum payout of $1.00, which corresponds to a cap of 400 rushing yards. The No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, ensuring that total payouts for each contract sum to $1.00 regardless of the outcome. Payouts are proportional to the holder’s position size, meaning that if a player records 80 rushing yards, the Yes contract pays $0.20 and the No contract pays $0.80; if the player records 200 yards, both Yes and No contracts pay $0.50 each; and if the player records zero yards, the Yes contract pays $0.00 and the No contract pays $1.00. All markets operate independently, with each resolving based solely on the rushing yards accumulated by its designated player.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly as an event approaches. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, but this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in, potentially identifying mispriced outcomes. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and can be a useful point of comparison when evaluating this market. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. The market depth, indicated by the bid and ask sizes, shows how much volume is available at different price points, influencing the ease of trading.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for the Detroit versus Carolina game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing yard totals, as recorded by the official NFL statistics, will determine which contracts payout. The market will settle to the highest rushing yard ladder achieved during the game, as defined by the market specifications on Kalshi. Traders will then receive their payouts based on their positions.