TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks rushing performance in a specific football game, offering payouts based on how many yards individual players gain. Contracts reward higher payouts as players exceed yardage thresholds, with calculations adjusted for precise yard increments.
Contracts in this market resolve based on the official rushing yards accumulated by designated players in the Detroit vs. Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each Yes contract pays a scaled payout determined by the player's rushing yards, increasing incrementally for every 10-yard block up to a maximum of $1.00 for 200 or more yards. The payout formula uses a cubic function of the yardage ratio to distribute rewards progressively, capped at $1.00. No contracts pay the difference between $1.00 and the Yes payout, ensuring total returns sum to $1.00 per contract pair. Negative rushing totals result in zero payout for Yes contracts. All payouts are calculated based on official game statistics, and the market resolves to Yes once yardage data is confirmed.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, particularly in the long run. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. However, there can be short-term discrepancies. If you find significant differences between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Lions-Panthers game, or simply varying levels of trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations for the Lions and Panthers’ rushing performance, ultimately determining the implied probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yard totals for both the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game’s completion. The final market price will reflect the actual combined rushing yards achieved during the game. Traders who correctly predicted the range containing the final total will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution.