TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball on the ground during an upcoming football game between Detroit and Carolina. It focuses on whether designated players reach certain thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage in the offense.
All markets resolve based on whether specified players record a minimum number of rushing attempts during the Detroit vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in evaluation regardless of the threshold specified for each player.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, potentially offering unique opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a certain outcome is likely, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up the price.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official combined rushing attempts for both the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers in their game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual number of rushing attempts. The market will then settle accordingly, paying out to those who correctly predicted the range of rushing attempts.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in coaching strategy regarding run-pass balance. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, with inclement weather potentially favoring a run-heavy approach. Finally, any news regarding offensive line matchups or defensive schemes designed to stop the run could shift trader sentiment and move the price of contracts in this market.