TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game between Detroit and Carolina. Each market focuses on whether a particular player reaches a designated reception threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receptions recorded by specified players in the Detroit vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A reception is counted when a player catches a forward pass from the quarterback. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for each player and reception threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed traders who identify discrepancies between the two. These differences can stem from varying levels of information and analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is influenced by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions by players on both the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics released by the NFL, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their positions shortly after the official statistics are published, finalizing the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Injury reports for key receivers on either team are significant catalysts, as they directly impact the potential for receptions. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing game strategies and, consequently, reception totals. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching decisions or changes in offensive play-calling could shift expectations and move the market. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment, driven by analysis or media coverage, can also contribute to price fluctuations.