TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 11:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks receiving yard performance for multiple players in a specific NFL matchup. Participants can speculate on how many yards each player will gain through a structured payout system tied directly to yardage totals.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by designated Detroit and Carolina players during the game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each Yes contract pays $0.0025 per recorded receiving yard, capped at $1.00, while each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are scalar and constrained between $0.00 and $1.00, with a maximum payout threshold equivalent to 400 receiving yards. The structure ensures proportional returns relative to a holder's position size, where examples illustrate that 80 yards yield a Yes payout of $0.20 and a No payout of $0.80, 200 yards split payouts equally at $0.50 each, and zero yards result in full No payout of $1.00. All markets operate independently but share identical payout mechanics and caps.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders update their assessments based on available data and analysis. Examining these differences can offer insights into public sentiment versus expert opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yardage levels. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that yardage threshold being reached. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing expectations, providing a real-time assessment of potential player performance. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage statistics for the Detroit versus Carolina game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final yardage totals, as reported by official sources, will determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The resolution process ensures accuracy and transparency, providing a clear outcome based on established game data. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries to key receivers on either team would likely cause significant shifts in contract prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could impact passing game strategies and affect expected yardage totals. Late-breaking news about defensive matchups or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding player performance could drive trading activity and alter prices.