TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
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2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 21 points in an upcoming football game between Detroit and Carolina. It captures the dynamic nature of the game by focusing on the pace at which each team scores, rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the first team to hit that scoring milestone, with specific provisions for game postponements.
The event determines whether Detroit, Carolina, or neither team will be the first to score 21 points in the Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 4, 2026. If either Detroit or Carolina reaches 21 points first during the game—including any overtime—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s common to see this market odds move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into public perception versus expert opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each team reaching 21 points first. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information impacts trader confidence. The current market price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a particular outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team, Detroit or Carolina, reaches 21 points first during the game. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any potential scoring adjustments or official rulings will be taken into consideration to ensure an accurate and fair resolution. Traders will be able to view the final result and settlement details on Kalshi following the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Detroit or Carolina would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team strategies or coaching decisions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors affecting game play could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, as the game progresses and early scoring unfolds, the market will react dynamically to the live action, potentially leading to substantial price swings. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities.