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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Oct 4, 11:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Bryce Young will throw for 250 or more passing yards in the Detroit versus Carolina professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Bryce Young achieving 250+ passing yards. The resolution source for this market is based on official game statistics from the Detroit vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, as detailed in the resolution rules. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve based on performance within the full game window, with a final resolution date estimated for October 5, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total passing yards accumulated by the specified quarterback during the Detroit vs Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026. If the player records the stated number of passing yards or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly on the actual passing yards recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all yardage thresholds for each named player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often begin with lines influenced by power rankings and expert analysis, while this market evolves based on the collective predictions of many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prices in this market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook lines. It's common to see convergence between the two as the event approaches, but discrepancies can still present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for total passing yards. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing yardage totals for the Detroit versus Carolina game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official game statistics released by the NFL. The market will determine which outcome – representing a specific range of total passing yards – most accurately reflects the actual game result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while others will not.