TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 8:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between Detroit and Carolina. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Detroit vs. Carolina Pro Football game scheduled for October 4, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Carolina scores first, Detroit scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to openly express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, as they aggregate information from a diverse range of participants. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and promotional offers, leading to potential discrepancies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome – in this case, Detroit or Carolina scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring first.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Detroit versus Carolina game. The official game results will be used to determine the winning outcome, and the platform will verify this against trusted sports news sources. The contracts will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the first team to score a touchdown.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Detroit or Carolina would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s offensive style, could also shift the odds. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and expert predictions could also sway trader sentiment. Finally, any large volume trades on Kalshi could indicate informed activity and cause the market to react accordingly, especially as the game approaches.