TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Pro Football match between Detroit and Carolina on October 4, 2026, this market resolves based on whether both teams score in the first quarter. Any scoring play, including touchdowns, field goals, or safeties, contributes to this market. The focus remains strictly on first-quarter scoring, with the rest of the game not affecting the result.
If Detroit and Carolina both score points in the 1st quarter of the Detroit vs Carolina Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own analysis. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one outcome, you might see a greater discrepancy with this market, especially if there’s strong disagreement among traders. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi often converge with sportsbook lines as more information becomes available and public opinion solidifies.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' or 'No'. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring in the first quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving you insight into potential price movements and liquidity. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, leading to dynamic price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the Detroit and Carolina teams score at least one point each during the first quarter of the game. Official game statistics from a recognized sports data provider will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The result will be a simple 'Yes' if both teams score, or 'No' if one or both teams fail to score in the first quarter.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries on either the Detroit or Carolina teams would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's scoring potential. Unexpected news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. As game day approaches, even the release of starting lineups can cause price fluctuations. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of a high-scoring first quarter will likely influence trading activity on Kalshi.