TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Jared Goff will score one or more touchdowns in the Detroit vs Arizona professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Jared Goff scoring 1+ touchdowns. The market resolves based on whether Tyler Allgeier scores at least one touchdown in the game, as determined by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the official team injury reports leading up to October 11, 2026, as player availability could significantly impact scoring opportunities and ultimately, the market’s resolution.
The event evaluates multiple individual markets centered on whether designated players or defensive units from the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals score at least one touchdown in the game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific player or unit and resolves to 'Yes' if that individual scores a touchdown. A key secondary rule states that if a player or unit is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once any snap is taken — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the market outcome is determined solely by whether a touchdown was scored. These provisions ensure fair resolution accounting for player participation and in-game anomalies, while clarifying that Kalshi maintains no official affiliation with the governing league or its intellectual properties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will rise in this market, potentially offering better value than available at a sportsbook. However, these differences aren’t guaranteed, and the two can converge as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a specific number of touchdowns, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect evolving expectations as new information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of touchdowns scored in the Detroit versus Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all traders involved in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key players on either the Detroit or Arizona teams would be significant, as they directly impact scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news regarding team strategies or coaching decisions could also move the market. Finally, any large-volume trades on Kalshi itself could cause noticeable price fluctuations as traders react to new information or adjust their positions.