TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the performance of both teams in a specific football game by focusing on how many field goals they score. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of field goals for either team, allowing participants to speculate on the scoring dynamics of the match.
The markets resolve based on the number of field goals scored by either Detroit or Arizona in their Pro Football game originally scheduled for October 11, 2026. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team reaches or exceeds the stated field goal threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe sportsbooks are undervaluing or overvaluing a particular outcome, the price here will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' capabilities, and can be a signal for potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of probabilities as perceived by those trading in the market. This creates a unique view compared to static odds.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored by both the Detroit and Arizona teams during the official game will determine the result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game. Traders will then be able to see which outcomes were correctly predicted and receive their payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Detroit or Arizona teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for kicking, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway traders' opinions. Even significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, may lead to price adjustments in this market.