TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The Pro Football contest between Detroit and Arizona will be scrutinized for instances where a player is downed in the opposing team's end zone or commits a penalty resulting in two points for the other side. The market's result depends entirely on the occurrence of such an event at any point in regulation or overtime.
If Detroit or Arizona record a safety in the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks often incorporate factors like public perception and potential liabilities into their lines, while this market is driven purely by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the expected outcome of the Detroit vs Arizona game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a safety occurring in the Detroit vs Arizona game. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, creating a dynamic and real-time valuation of the event’s likelihood. The current price represents the cost to take one side of the bet.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether a safety was officially recorded during the Detroit vs Arizona game according to official game statistics. The official game results will be used to determine whether a safety occurred, and that determination will finalize the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 11, 2026. News regarding key player injuries on either the Detroit or Arizona teams, particularly defensive players, could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, might also impact the likelihood of a safety. Even late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader behavior and move the market. Any unexpected developments related to the game’s conditions or participant availability could cause price fluctuations.