TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks Jahmyr Gibbs' rushing yards in the Detroit vs Arizona game, with payouts that increase exponentially as his yardage rises. Rewards accelerate significantly with higher yardage brackets.
If Each Yes contract pays per rushing yards by Jahmyr Gibbs in the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each 10 rushing yards increase the payout by the following schedule: 0–9 yards, $0.0000; 10–19, $0.0001; 20–29, $0.0010; 30–39, $0.0033; 40–49, $0.0080; 50–59, $0.0156; 60–69, $0.0270; 70–79, $0.0428; 80–89, $0.0640; 90–99, $0.0911; 100–109, $0.1250; 110–119, $0.1663; 120–129, $0.2160; 130–139, $0.2746; 140–149, $0.3430; 150–159, $0.4218; 160–169, $0.5120; 170–179, $0.6141; 180–189, $0.7290; 190–199, $0.8573; and 200 or more, $1.0000. Each No contract pays $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Yes pays out at most $1.00. Then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and attempt to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information emerges – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – this market tends to incorporate that data more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially closer to the event date, as traders react to the latest developments and refine their predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding potential rushing yardage totals.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official rushing yardage totals for the Detroit and Arizona game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the combined rushing yards achieved by both teams during the official game statistics. Any overtime periods will be included in the final tally. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct rushing yardage range will receive a payout based on the market’s pricing at resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs or offensive linemen on either the Detroit or Arizona teams would be major catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts – particularly if rain or snow is predicted – could also shift expectations, as adverse conditions typically favor a more passing-oriented game plan. Unexpected starting quarterback changes or significant coaching adjustments could also impact the anticipated rushing attack strategies. Finally, any news regarding team practice dynamics or strategic shifts could move the market.