TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming football game, focusing on individual achievements rather than the overall game outcome. Participants can speculate on whether certain athletes will surpass predetermined rushing yard milestones during the match.
All markets refer to the Detroit vs Arizona professional football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the specified player records the stated rushing yard threshold or higher. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the rushing yards actually recorded. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for Jacoby Brissett, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Jared Goff, each with escalating yardage thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. As a result, you may find that prediction market prices diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets more accurately reflect true probabilities, especially closer to the event date.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price continuously adjusts to incorporate new information and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals from the Detroit versus Arizona game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, and the contract corresponding to the correct rushing yardage range will pay out. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key running backs on both teams are a major catalyst, as the absence of a star player would drastically alter rushing yardage expectations. Unexpected weather conditions, such as heavy rain or snow, could also impact the game plan and favor a more run-heavy approach. Furthermore, any news regarding coaching strategies or changes to the offensive line could shift the market. Finally, general public sentiment and late-breaking analysis from sports analysts could also contribute to price movements in this market.