TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between Detroit and Arizona. It focuses on whether designated players achieve certain cumulative yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays. The outcomes depend entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the game.
All markets in this event evaluate whether specified Detroit or Arizona players achieve predetermined combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds in the game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market has a distinct yardage requirement for its respective player. If a player is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the total rushing and receiving yards they accumulate during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each player's performance relative to their specific thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Polls and analysts currently suggest a close contest, but this market provides a unique perspective based on real money at risk. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, and the motivations of those placing bets. It's common to see prediction markets offer more accurate forecasts, particularly when there's significant public interest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, creating a dynamic and efficient price discovery process. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific yardage total.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final rushing and receiving yardage totals for both the Detroit and Arizona teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. Official statistics from the game will serve as the basis for resolution. Traders will be able to see the final results and receive payouts based on their positions in the market. It's important to monitor the game and official sources as the event unfolds to understand the potential resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Injury reports for key players on either team, particularly running backs and wide receivers, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact the game plan and yardage totals. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or team dynamics could also shift market sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could influence trading activity and price fluctuations in this market.