TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between Detroit and Arizona. It focuses on whether certain players achieve particular thresholds of rushing attempts, reflecting their potential usage and role in the game plan.
All markets resolve based on whether designated players record a specified number of rushing attempts during the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance against predefined benchmarks.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Therefore, you may observe discrepancies between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. These differences can arise from varying information sources, analytical approaches, or simply differing opinions among bettors and market participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing attempt totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that specific outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe a certain rushing attempts total is likely, the price of the corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total rushing attempts for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the range containing the actual rushing attempts total will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The exact payout amount will depend on the final outcome and the price paid for the contract.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Injury reports for key running backs or offensive linemen on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the running game, could also move the market. Late-breaking news regarding coaching strategies or game plans, or even pre-game analysis from prominent football analysts, might shift trader sentiment. Any information that alters perceptions of the likely game script and the expected reliance on rushing attacks has the potential to impact this market.