TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track the number of receptions achieved by various Detroit and Arizona players in an upcoming NFL game. Payouts scale linearly with each reception recorded, offering participants a way to speculate on individual player performance.
Each market resolves based on the number of receptions recorded by a specified player during the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. For each player market, Yes contracts pay $0.05 per reception, up to a maximum of $1.00, while No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout. Payouts are capped at 20 receptions and are proportional to the holder's position size. For instance, if a player records eight receptions, the Yes payout would be $0.40 and the No payout $0.60; eleven receptions would result in a Yes payout of $0.55 and a No payout of $0.45; zero receptions would yield a Yes payout of $0.00 and a No payout of $1.00. All markets operate independently, with each resolving solely based on the reception count of its designated player.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, leading to potentially different probabilities. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges closer to the game. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in player status than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and adjusts probabilities accordingly. The goal is to reflect the true likelihood of the final reception total, as determined by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official reception totals from the Detroit vs Arizona game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception count, as recorded by official game statistics, will determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the total combined receptions by all players on both teams. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct reception total will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key receivers or tight ends on either team would likely cause substantial movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact passing game strategies and therefore reception totals. Unexpected starting lineup changes, or even adjustments to offensive play-calling, could shift the market as well. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or defensive schemes could also lead to price fluctuations in this market.