TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in an upcoming football game between Detroit and Arizona. Each market focuses on a specific player and a minimum reception threshold, resolving based on their performance during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receptions recorded by specified players in the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If a player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles according to the actual number of receptions recorded during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., 2+, 3+, etc.) for the player’s receptions, and if the player meets or exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It's common to see this market and sportsbook lines converge as the event approaches, especially if there is significant agreement between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different reception totals. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the expected number of receptions.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final reception totals from the Detroit vs Arizona game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the official statistics released by the relevant sporting authority, reflecting the total combined receptions achieved by players from both teams during the game. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the winning contracts based on the actual event results.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either the Detroit or Arizona teams would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions impacting passing offenses, could also shift expectations. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or coaching strategies might also impact trading activity. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team dynamics could lead to substantial price fluctuations in this market before it resolves.