TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of individual players in a specific football game, focusing on how many receiving yards each player accumulates. The payout structure rewards higher yardage with progressively larger returns, creating a direct link between player performance and financial outcome.
Each market evaluates player receiving yards in the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Yes contracts pay according to a tiered schedule based on every 10 receiving yards achieved by the specified player, with payouts increasing non-linearly from $0.0000 for 0–9 yards up to $1.0000 for 200 or more yards. The exact payout is calculated using the formula floor(10000 x (y / 200)^3) / 10000, where y is derived from the official receiving yards (s) as min(200, max(0, 10 x floor(s / 10))). No contracts pay $1.00 minus the Yes payout, and any negative yardage results in a $0.00 payout for Yes contracts. All Yes payouts are capped at $1.00. The markets resolve to Yes upon determination of the official statistics.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing the outcome of the Detroit vs Arizona receiving yards total. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Contract prices range from 0 to 100, where a price of 50 indicates a 50% probability. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly, creating a dynamic and informative price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yards total for the Detroit vs Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards total, as reported by official NFL sources, will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources as the game progresses to understand how the outcome is being determined.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers on either the Detroit or Arizona teams are major catalysts, as their absence would directly impact the potential receiving yards total. Weather conditions, particularly strong winds or heavy rain, could also affect passing games and, consequently, this market. Late-breaking news regarding changes in offensive strategies or quarterback performance could also lead to price movements. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and shift the market price.