What is the result of Detroit vs Arizona?

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from many traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market prices may shift more rapidly than sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of probabilities. It's common to see discrepancies, as each represents a different form of forecasting.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which player will have the longest rush. As more people buy a contract for a specific player, the price of that contract increases, reflecting a higher probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that player having the longest rush, and traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official game statistics, specifically identifying the player with the longest single rushing attempt during the Detroit versus Arizona game. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the final determination for which player’s rush was the longest, and this will be used to settle all outstanding contracts in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries to key running backs on either team would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the market, as these conditions often favor a more run-heavy offensive strategy. Late-breaking news about coaching decisions or strategic adjustments could also move the market, as could any significant updates on player health or performance expectations leading up to the game.