TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific players' performance in an upcoming football game between Detroit and Arizona. It focuses on whether selected players achieve a certain distance for their longest reception during the match. The outcome depends purely on in-game play and player participation.
The event evaluates whether any of the specified players records a longest reception exceeding their individual threshold yards in the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different player and their respective yardage requirement. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the longest reception they record during the game. All markets are independent, and the resolution hinges solely on the in-game performance of each designated player against their specific yardage benchmarks.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each player, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that player having the longest reception. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if many traders believe a player is likely to have the longest reception, the price of their contract will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the definitive source for determining the longest reception, and this will be used to settle the market. Traders should monitor the game closely as it unfolds to understand how the outcome is shaping up.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key receivers, would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds, could also impact passing strategies and therefore the likelihood of long receptions. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated player projections could also sway trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or unexpected developments leading up to the game could create volatility in this market.