TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks passing yard milestones for specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game. It evaluates whether each player reaches various yardage thresholds during their performance. The outcome depends solely on the actual passing yards recorded by the designated players.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified quarterback records the stated passing yard threshold or more in the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. If a quarterback is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the passing yards actually recorded. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, aiming to balance their book. This market, however, allows individuals to trade on their own informed opinions, leading to odds that can diverge from sportsbooks as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional polls or analyst predictions, as they incentivize participants to be well-informed and express their true beliefs.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing yard totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular yardage range, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trader sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Detroit vs Arizona game. Traders are essentially betting against each other, rather than against the house.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official passing yard totals for both the Detroit and Arizona teams are verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the combined passing yards achieved by both teams during the game. The official statistics released by the NFL will serve as the source of truth for determining the winning contracts. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual game results.
Several factors could influence the Detroit vs Arizona passing yards market. Injury reports for key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if a storm is predicted, could also impact passing yard expectations. Pre-game news regarding defensive strategies or play-calling tendencies could shift trader sentiment. Finally, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could lead to increased volume and price fluctuations in this market.