TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on how many times they successfully throw the ball for touchdowns. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will reach certain scoring milestones during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of passing touchdowns recorded by the specified quarterback during the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. Each market has a different threshold (1+, 2+, 3+, 4+, or 5+ touchdowns) that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome. If the named quarterback is active for the team but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by penalty — the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply independently to markets for both Jacoby Brissett and Jared Goff, allowing separate evaluation of each player's performance.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the difference. It’s common to see this market adjust more quickly to news and information than sportsbook lines, as it incorporates a wider range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a forward-looking assessment of the game's likely passing touchdown total.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final number of passing touchdowns scored by both the Detroit and Arizona teams during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts shortly after the game concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the Detroit vs Arizona passing market. Any news regarding key player injuries, particularly to quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected passing volume. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any late-breaking news about defensive matchups, could all contribute to shifts in the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.