TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterbacks in a specific football game, focusing on how often their passes are intercepted by the opposing team. It allows participants to speculate on whether a player will have multiple turnovers through interceptions during the match.
The event evaluates whether specified Detroit or Arizona quarterbacks record a certain number of passing interceptions in the Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and a minimum threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, or 3+). If the named quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if the play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves based on the actual number of interceptions recorded during the game. All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others, and each is resolved strictly according to the interceptions achieved by the specified player against the stated threshold.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. These differences can arise from varying information sources, analytical approaches, and risk assessments, providing a valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts dynamically, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the likelihood of a specific number of interceptions being thrown in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions in the Detroit versus Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of interceptions will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' health or playing status – for either team – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be adverse for passing, could also shift the market. Additionally, late-breaking reports about defensive strategies or key player matchups could cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected news about injuries to key receivers could also move the market.