What is the result of Detroit vs Arizona?

Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and can move independently based on information and sentiment.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the number of passing completions. The price of each contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. The goal is to accurately forecast the final number of passing completions, and the price reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions in the Detroit versus Arizona game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome matched the actual result.

Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also impact the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.