TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of passing attempts made by specific quarterbacks in an upcoming football game between Detroit and Arizona. The focus is on whether predetermined thresholds of passing attempts are met by the named players during the contest. Outcomes are determined purely by in-game performance metrics.
All markets in this event evaluate whether specified Detroit or Arizona quarterbacks reach defined passing attempt thresholds during the game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a particular player and threshold (e.g., Jacoby Brissett 33+, Jared Goff 30+, etc.). If the named quarterback is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. Once the quarterback takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the total passing attempts they record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets in this event, with resolution contingent on actual game statistics rather than pre-game expectations or nullified plays.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s immediately available in traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights. You may find that this market’s probabilities diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges closer to the game. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes, particularly when there’s significant public interest and debate.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final passing attempt total from the Detroit vs Arizona game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data. Traders should monitor official sources for the final results to understand the outcome of this market and any potential payouts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also move the market. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment, potentially signaling new information or analysis is influencing the market.