TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specific participants exceed predetermined fantasy point thresholds based on a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on fantasy points accumulated by specified players or team defense units during the full duration of the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026, including any overtime periods. Fantasy points are calculated using Sleeper’s default full-PPR scoring system, which awards points for various statistical categories such as passing/rushing/receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, kicks, defensive plays, and special teams contributions. Each market has a unique threshold; if the designated player or defense unit surpasses their respective threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes,' otherwise to 'No.' Players or units that do not participate in the game are considered to have scored zero points. The official Sleeper-published fantasy point totals at the time of game expiration are used for resolution, with no post-expiration adjustments or rounding applied. All markets are independent, and each uses the same underlying scoring methodology without variation.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their books and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents what traders believe will actually happen. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – you may observe this market adjusting more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early in the trading period, as the market aggregates diverse opinions and analyses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different outcomes related to the total fantasy points scored in the Detroit vs Arizona game. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the probability that the market assigns to a particular outcome, with higher prices suggesting a greater likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for the Detroit vs Arizona game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official fantasy point scoring system used by a major fantasy sports provider. The market will determine which outcome – a specific range of total fantasy points – was accurately predicted by the highest-priced contract at the time of resolution. No further trading will be permitted after the resolution process is complete.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Detroit or Arizona teams would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they affect passing or rushing conditions, could also influence predictions. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news about team strategies could also move the market. Finally, significant public attention or expert analysis focusing on this game could drive increased trading volume and price adjustments.