TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
The Pro Football matchup between Detroit and Arizona will test whether both teams can put points on the board in each quarter of regulation play. Scoring methods include touchdowns, field goals, and safeties, but only points from the regular four quarters count; any overtime scoring does not affect the result. The game's start time flexibility is considered, with fair pricing applied if the game does not commence within 48 hours of the scheduled time.
If Detroit and Arizona both score points in every quarter of regulation of the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the game's outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of the event occurring. The price of a 'Yes' contract indicates the market's belief that both teams will score in every quarter. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice-versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly adjusting to new information and sentiment regarding the Detroit vs Arizona matchup.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on official game statistics confirming whether both the Detroit and Arizona teams scored in each quarter of the game. The final result will be based on the official game records, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the market's resolution.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Detroit or Arizona teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor one team's offensive style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any shifts in public perception or expert analysis could contribute to price movements in this market.