TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the interplay between the first half and full game outcomes in a specific football match. They require both the first half result and the final game result to match specified conditions for resolution. The outcomes hinge on whether each team leads, ties, or wins at different stages of the game.
The markets resolve based on the combined results of the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the Detroit vs Arizona Pro Football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' both the first half result and the full game result must match the specified conditions outlined in each rule. If either the first half or full game result does not align with the required outcome, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, the markets will resolve to a fair price. All markets are independent, each requiring a specific combination of first half and full game outcomes to be satisfied.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity as new information emerges. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than traditional odds in response to breaking news.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Detroit vs Arizona game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on the event. The current market depth and order book are visible directly on the Kalshi dashboard.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Detroit vs Arizona game, specifically the first half and fulltime result as determined by official league sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will receive their payouts shortly after the official result is confirmed and processed by Kalshi.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact the perceived probabilities of different outcomes. Unexpected announcements about team performance or significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in polls or media coverage, could also influence trading activity. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader league developments, might also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bids, leading to price fluctuations in this market.