TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 1:42 AM EST
Opinion
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 20:25 UTC: If the Detroit Lions win, the market will resolve to "Detroit Lions". If the Arizona Cardinals win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Cardinals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for 2026-10-11 20:25 UTC: If the Detroit Lions win, the market will resolve to "Detroit Lions". If the Arizona Cardinals win, the market will resolve to "Arizona Cardinals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or officially ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution Source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, prediction markets can quickly adjust to new information and changing sentiment. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as the event draws closer and more information becomes available.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of that outcome's probability. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust to changing expectations. The platform doesn't use a fixed spread or odds format like traditional sportsbooks; instead, it's a fluid system driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Detroit Lions versus Arizona Cardinals game, as reported by a trusted sports news source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at resolution, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Cardinals would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also move the market. Major coaching decisions or strategic announcements could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market.