TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 10:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Detroit City FC and Hartford Athletic. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Detroit City FC and Hartford Athletic in their USL Championship match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the count. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a separate condition for resolution. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may adjust less rapidly to new information. This market, driven by traders actively buying and selling contracts, tends to incorporate news and sentiment more quickly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, player injuries, or even weather conditions. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating the probability of certain outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for Detroit City FC. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and generate a forecast based on the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored by Detroit City FC in their match against Hartford Athletic will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see which contracts were successful and receive their payouts accordingly after the official result is confirmed.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Detroit City FC or Hartford Athletic would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, like heavy rain or strong winds, might affect the scoring potential. Even public sentiment and betting patterns observed elsewhere could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.