TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
Detroit City FC battles Birmingham Legion FC, with markets focusing on whether Detroit secures a strong win or if Birmingham achieves a notable victory margin.
The spread markets for the Detroit City FC vs Birmingham Legion FC match resolve based on the winning margin. If Detroit City FC wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Detroit City FC wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. If Birmingham Legion FC wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes. If Birmingham Legion FC wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. The outcomes are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or vice versa. It’s a useful comparison point for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, indicated by the bid and ask sizes, shows how much volume is available at different price points, providing insight into potential price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Detroit City FC vs Birmingham Legion FC match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, as determined by the league and reported by major sports news outlets. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will receive nothing.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Detroit City FC or Birmingham Legion FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant betting activity in sportsbooks could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or player availability could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.