TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Detroit City FC versus Birmingham Legion FC USL Championship game set for October 3, 2026, this event evaluates if both clubs score at least one goal during the 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time. The determination is based exclusively on whether each team registers a goal within the standard match period.
If Detroit City FC and Birmingham Legion FC both score a goal in the Detroit City FC vs Birmingham Legion FC USL Championship match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of both teams scoring. It’s common to see prediction market prices adjust more rapidly to new information and public sentiment than traditional sportsbook odds, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of the true likelihood of the event occurring. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams will score) or 'No' (one or both teams will fail to score). The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of the event happening. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, creating a dynamic and real-time estimate of the outcome’s probability.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Detroit City FC and Birmingham Legion FC score at least one goal each during the scheduled match time. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The final result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news outlets.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Detroit City FC or Birmingham Legion FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-match commentary, could influence trading activity and alter the price of contracts in this market.