TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 9:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on the final score after the regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will adjust fairly if the match is significantly rescheduled or canceled.
The event determines the winner of the Detroit City FC versus Birmingham Legion FC professional USL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Detroit City FC wins the match within this timeframe, the 'Detroit City FC' market resolves to Yes. If Birmingham Legion FC secures the victory under the same conditions, the 'Birmingham Legion FC' market resolves to Yes. Should the match conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the governing league, without regard to any post-regulation proceedings.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a margin for profit, which may not always accurately represent the true probability of an event. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, allows individuals to express their own predictions, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and changing circumstances than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Detroit City FC vs Birmingham Legion FC match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, offering a unique perspective compared to fixed-odds betting.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Detroit City FC vs Birmingham Legion FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Detroit City FC, a win for Birmingham Legion FC, or a tie—occurs in the official match result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 4, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either Detroit City FC or Birmingham Legion FC would likely cause movement. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also shift the odds. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could impact trading activity and therefore the prices in this market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team performance or internal issues could also be a catalyst for price changes.