TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers during the second quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes', allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in that specific quarter.
These markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by both the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers exceed specified thresholds during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026. Each market features a unique point total threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. The outcome is determined solely by the points scored in the second quarter, with all other quarters and any potential overtime periods excluded from consideration. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold operates under its own resolution criteria, and the governing league’s official scoring will be used to determine the result. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, incorporating a margin into their odds. This market, however, is driven purely by supply and demand – traders buying and selling contracts based on their own analysis. While sportsbooks may initially be more visible, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate forecasts, especially as more information becomes available and the event approaches. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly in situations where public sentiment strongly deviates from expert opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts that pay out $1 if the total points scored in the 2nd quarter fall within a specific range, and $0 otherwise. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market’s depth, indicated by the order book, shows the available liquidity at different price points.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Lions-Panthers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data provider, will determine the final score. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the actual total falls within the ranges defined by the market’s contracts. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions following the official announcement of the game’s results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Lions or the Panthers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact prices. In-game developments during the 1st quarter, such as a dominant offensive performance by one team, could shift expectations and drive trading volume. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, even if it doesn't align with statistical analysis.