TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first quarter of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different point total that, if exceeded by the combined scores of both teams, determines the outcome of that specific market.
These markets assess whether the combined points scored by both the Detroit Lions and Carolina Panthers during the first quarter of their game scheduled for October 4, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different threshold value, ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. For any given market, if the total points scored by both teams in the first quarter surpass the stated threshold, the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward these markets, and all markets operate independently of one another. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and perspectives beyond those considered by traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, this market allows anyone to trade based on their own insights, leading to potentially different probabilities. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to news and developments, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome than fixed sportsbook odds. However, differences can occur due to varying levels of liquidity and user participation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter will be above or below a certain threshold. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic indication of the expected result. The market’s depth and volume contribute to price discovery, offering a unique perspective on the game’s potential.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first quarter of the Lions-Panthers game will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of the 'over' or 'under' contracts. The official scoring data from the game, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Panthers would likely cause significant shifts in the price. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to high or low scoring, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any significant pre-game analysis or expert opinions that gain traction could sway trader sentiment. Even the volume of bets placed on this market itself can create momentum, driving the price in one direction or another.