TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 9:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance gap between the Detroit Lions and the Carolina Panthers specifically within the first quarter of their scheduled game. Each market evaluates different point differentials to determine outcomes based on which team leads and by how much during that initial segment of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first quarter of the Detroit Lions vs. Carolina Panthers game scheduled for October 4, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs when the specified team wins by more than the indicated point margin during that quarter. Only points scored in the first quarter count; any scoring in later quarters is irrelevant. Markets cover various thresholds for both teams winning by margins ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points, allowing participants to assess likelihoods of different competitive balances early in the game. The resolving entity bears no official connection to the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Generally, you might find that this market incorporates information and perspectives not fully captured by sportsbooks, leading to potentially different probabilities assigned to various outcomes. It's common to see differences, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price of these contracts will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likely 1st quarter spread between the Lions and the Panthers.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the first quarter spread in the Lions-Panthers game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official point spread as determined by the game’s official statisticians. Traders holding contracts on the winning spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing spreads will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the final price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several signals could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Lions or the Panthers would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in betting trends and expert analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.