TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 10:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether either the Detroit Lions or Carolina Panthers will be winning at halftime of their upcoming football game. Currently, Kalshi shows a 99.0% probability that neither team will win the first half, with Detroit winning at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the first half of the DET Lions vs CAR Panthers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, as reported by the game’s official results. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the game on October 4, 2026, as the first half result will determine the market’s outcome.
If Carolina wins the 1st Half of the DET Lions vs CAR Panthers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Detroit wins the 1st Half of the DET Lions vs CAR Panthers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Half of the DET Lions vs CAR Panthers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the first half, the price will move accordingly, potentially diverging from sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional odds, especially as more information becomes available closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced as a binary outcome contract: either the Lions or the Panthers will win the first half. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each team's probability of winning. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates, reflecting the collective assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the first half. The market efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Lions-Panthers game. Official game statistics will be used to determine the winner. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team and 0 for the losing team, representing a payout based on the final score at halftime. Traders will be able to claim their winnings shortly after the official result is declared.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Panthers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or coaching decisions might also play a role. Finally, as kickoff approaches and more data becomes available – such as starting lineups – the market will likely become more volatile and reflect the latest information.