TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming football game, allowing participants to speculate on various scoring thresholds being surpassed. The outcomes depend entirely on the final point totals for both teams during the match.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified team scores above a particular point threshold in the game between the Detroit Lions and the Arizona Cardinals scheduled for October 11, 2026. If the team's points exceed the stated threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The thresholds vary incrementally for both teams, covering a wide range of possible scoring outcomes. All markets are independent, and each has its own specific point requirement. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. Consequently, the implied probabilities from this market can sometimes differ from those found at sportsbooks, potentially offering value to informed bettors. It’s common to see prediction markets reflect public sentiment and adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that diverge from initial sportsbook lines. This difference can be especially noticeable as game day approaches and more data becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Lions and Cardinals combined team totals will exceed the set line. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher probability of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling of 'yes' contracts lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price essentially reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd, dynamically adjusting based on supply and demand for these contracts. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of the event occurring, driven entirely by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined team score of the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be sourced from reliable sports data providers. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive a payout, while those on the losing side will forfeit their investment. The exact timing of the resolution may vary slightly depending on the official reporting of game results.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to game day. News regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or Cardinals would likely cause substantial movement, as the absence of star players impacts scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if inclement weather is predicted, could also shift the market, as adverse conditions often lead to lower scores. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations in this market.