TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether the Detroit Lions will win their game against the Arizona Cardinals by more than 5.5 points. Currently, the probability of this outcome occurring on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the final score of the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, as determined by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the completion of the fixture and the determination of the final point differential on or around the resolution date of 2026-10-12.
These markets assess whether the Detroit Lions win by more than specified margins (ranging from 1.5 to 20.5 points) or if the Arizona Cardinals win by more than specified margins (ranging from 1.5 to 14.5 points) in their Oct 11, 2026, matchup. Each market resolves to Yes if the point differential meets or exceeds the stated requirement for the winning team. Kalshi emphasizes no official league affiliation, with all trademarks belonging to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, and can sometimes diverge from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and perspectives. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set the spread, the prediction market allows traders to continuously adjust their expectations based on evolving insights, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Lions-Cardinals spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders who believe the Lions will win by a certain margin can buy contracts, while those who disagree can sell them. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, creating a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the game between the Detroit Lions and the Arizona Cardinals, as officially recorded by sports data providers, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result of the game, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payouts on Kalshi after the game concludes.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Cardinals would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in coaching strategies, weather forecasts for the game day, or even significant shifts in public sentiment—perhaps driven by expert analysis—could all influence trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of the likely game outcome.