TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming football game between the Detroit Lions and the Arizona Cardinals. It specifically tracks performance during that single quarter, ignoring overall game results or other quarters. The outcome depends solely on which team has the higher point total in that specific segment of play.
If Arizona wins the 3rd Quarter of the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Detroit wins the 3rd Quarter of the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd Quarter of the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. While sportsbooks may initially favor one team, the prediction market can shift rapidly as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the expected outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the 3rd quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment. The current price indicates the market's expectation for which team is favored to win the third quarter of the game.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the third quarter of the Lions-Cardinals game will be declared the winner of this market. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and results, ensuring a transparent and accurate determination of the outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the settlement of their contracts following the conclusion of the game and verification of the official score.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Cardinals would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also influence trading activity. Major coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also impact market sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.