TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals during the second quarter of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the bet to win.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals during the second quarter of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market corresponds to a different point total threshold (ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points). If the total points scored by both teams in that quarter surpass the threshold defined for a given market, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second quarter count, and all markets are independent, each with its own resolution criteria based on the respective threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular result. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the price by placing bids and asks. The current price represents the market's collective expectation of the 2nd quarter total. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are attempting to profit by accurately predicting the outcome, and the price adjusts based on supply and demand. A higher price suggests a greater expectation of a higher 2nd quarter total, while a lower price indicates the opposite. The market’s depth, shown by the order book, also provides insight into trader conviction.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Lions-Cardinals game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will serve as the basis for verification. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or pre-game reports, could influence trader behavior. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi could also create price fluctuations as traders react to new information or attempt to capitalize on perceived mispricings.