TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals in the second half of their upcoming game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points, allowing participants to bet on various levels of scoring intensity in the latter part of the match.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals in the second half (including overtime) of their game scheduled for October 11, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. Each market features a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams in the second half surpass the threshold defined for a particular market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the second half and any overtime periods count toward these markets. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a separate condition for resolution.
Often, prediction market odds can differ from those found at traditional sportsbooks due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of traders believe the actual 2nd half total will be higher or lower than the sportsbook’s line, the price here will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to opportunities to find value where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom. It’s important to compare the probabilities implied by both to make informed decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the 2nd half total will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all participants trading in this market, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the final score.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final 2nd half total points scored in the Lions-Cardinals game will be used to determine whether the market settles in the ‘over’ or ‘under’ category. Official statistics from the NFL will serve as the basis for verification, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game ends. Any news regarding key player injuries to either the Lions or Cardinals would likely have a significant impact, as this affects scoring potential. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be severe, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi can quickly move the price, especially if they indicate a strong conviction from informed traders.