TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 5:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will lead after the first quarter of play in an upcoming football game between the Detroit Lions and the Arizona Cardinals. It captures the early momentum and scoring efficiency of each team within the initial segment of the match.
If Arizona wins the 1st Quarter of the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Detroit wins the 1st Quarter of the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st Quarter of the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and public perception, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to trade based on their own analysis and information. As more people participate, the prices on Kalshi can converge toward what many believe is the true probability of each outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, either the Lions or the Cardinals winning the first quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each team taking an early lead. The closer we get to the game, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the first quarter of the Lions-Cardinals game will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the game's progress and official results to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Cardinals would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about team morale or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, as kickoff approaches, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis could drive further price fluctuations in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential opportunities.