TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates various scoring thresholds for the first half of an upcoming football game between two teams. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring performance that bettors can wager on, reflecting expectations about how high-scoring the game might be in the initial half.
These markets determine whether the combined points scored by both teams during the first half of the specified Pro Football game exceed various thresholds. Each market has a unique threshold, ranging from 3.5 to 42.5 points. If the total points scored by both teams in the first half surpass the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first half of play, with no consideration given to points from the second half or any other game segments. The markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one threshold does not affect the outcomes of others, each operating solely based on its own point total requirement.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but they also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by traders on Kalshi, represents a collective forecast, potentially identifying information not fully captured by traditional oddsmakers. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering a different perspective on the event’s probability.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first half will be over or under a certain threshold. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the price is to 100, the more likely traders believe that outcome will happen. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the market, providing a real-time assessment of the potential first half total.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total points scored in the first half of the Detroit Lions versus Arizona Cardinals game will be used to determine whether the market settles in favor of the 'over' or 'under' outcome. The official scoring data from the game will serve as the basis for resolution, ensuring an objective and transparent result for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact the price. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could sway trader sentiment. Even public perception, reflected in social media trends or expert analysis, can contribute to shifts in this market’s price as traders react to new information.