TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 6:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Detroit Lions versus the Arizona Cardinals during the first half of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a win.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential in the first half of the designated game between the Detroit Lions and Arizona Cardinals. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the stated team wins by more than the specified point margin during the first half; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Each market defines a unique threshold for victory margins, ranging from narrow to substantial differences. Only points scored in the first half are considered, and the markets are independent of the final game result. The resolving entity explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often be more accurate than initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market is driven purely by individuals predicting the outcome. However, as game time approaches, sportsbook odds tend to converge with those found here, especially if there’s significant money flowing into both. It’s common to see discrepancies initially, with this market sometimes offering more favorable odds, but those differences usually diminish as more information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the first half of the Lions-Cardinals game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is determined by supply and demand – if more people believe the Lions will cover a particular spread, the price of contracts representing that spread will increase. Conversely, if sentiment shifts, the price will fall.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official first-half spread result from the Lions-Cardinals game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to spreads that match the actual result will settle at 100, while those that do not will settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Lions or the Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages.