TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Detroit Lions or the Arizona Cardinals will win their professional football game scheduled for October 11, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Detroit a 98.0% probability of winning, while Arizona is at 2.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game, as determined by the official result of the game. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 11, 2026, as the final score will determine the resolution of this market.
If Arizona wins the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Detroit wins the DET Lions vs ARI Cardinals Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on information and analysis. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Lions-Cardinals game. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and provide a real-time assessment of the game’s likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Lions-Cardinals game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning outcome. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome and 0 for all losing outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either the Lions or the Cardinals would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic shifts announced by either team could also shift expectations. Finally, any significant public sentiment shifts, such as a surge in betting activity on one team at sportsbooks, could influence traders and move this market.