TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:23 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: If the Derthona Basket win, the market will resolve to "Derthona Basket". If the Maxima Roma win, the market will resolve to "Maxima Roma". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: If the Derthona Basket win, the market will resolve to "Derthona Basket". If the Maxima Roma win, the market will resolve to "Maxima Roma". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. While sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, this market represents the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to divergences, particularly when public sentiment strongly disagrees with expert analysis. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information, such as injuries or lineup changes, as traders rapidly adjust their positions. Examining the difference between these sources can provide a more nuanced understanding of the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular result, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective forecast. The current trading volume and price fluctuations provide insights into how traders are interpreting available information about the game.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Derthona Basket versus Maxima Roma game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in the market, and winning shares will be redeemable at the predetermined payout rate. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries or illness on either team would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team lineups, coaching decisions, or even unexpected travel disruptions could also shift the odds. Furthermore, performance in preceding games, updated statistical analysis, and public sentiment expressed through media coverage can all influence trader behavior. Monitoring these factors closely will provide valuable insight into potential market movements and inform your trading strategy.