TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Derby County FC" if Derby County FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stoke City FC" if Stoke City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Derby County FC" if Derby County FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Stoke City FC" if Stoke City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of either Derby County or Stoke City scoring first. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market can quickly adjust based on new information and changing sentiment, potentially offering more accurate probabilities as the event approaches. It's worth comparing both to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome – either Derby County or Stoke City scoring first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to the latest information and collective intelligence of the traders participating.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be determined by which team officially scores the first goal in the Derby County vs. Stoke City match. Any goals disallowed due to fouls or other infringements will not be considered. The official match records will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome of this market, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Derby County or Stoke City would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could contribute to price movements. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market before it resolves.