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$323,326,361

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

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4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC?

Volume:
$122,205

Stoke

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 12:01 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stoke

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$27,262
N/A
N/A
$16,323
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stoke City FC

100%
60%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$26,498
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Derby

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,614
N/A
N/A
$17,311
Settled
No
polymarket

Derby County FC

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,496
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Derby County FC vs. Stoke City FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,654
N/A
N/A
$6,951
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single soccer match between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC scheduled for October 17, 2026. Markets exist for Derby County winning, Stoke City winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on the core resolution criteria: 90 minutes + stoppage time, postponement continuation, and cancellation handling.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (EFL.com).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, 'No' markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Markets will resolve within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Derby County FC and Stoke City FC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Derby vs Stoke EFL Championship soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Derby wins, the 'Derby' market resolves to Yes; if Stoke wins, the 'Stoke' market resolves to Yes; if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Derby County vs. Stoke City match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a volume of $122,205 with $99,707 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of potential results, combining insights from multiple prediction markets. The dashboard provides a dynamic look at where the crowd believes the outcome will land, reflecting real-time shifts in sentiment as new information becomes available. This is a great way to gauge expectations beyond traditional sources.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when a large volume of informed traders participate. However, sportsbooks sometimes offer more competitive pricing on popular events. It’s worthwhile to compare both to identify potential value, and this market provides a unique perspective on the likely result.